The Drop That Erodes the Stone or a Blinding Flash of the Obvious?
Posted on | April 25, 2010 | No Comments
More and more people in high level positions recognize the need for a large scale energy transformation program, as I have been telling about in previous postings. The information that this will become necessary may turn out to be like the drop that erodes the stone, and soon enough a fully fledged transformation program will emerge in a country near you!!
However, this may not be the way things turn out to happen. The alternative is that the supply of oil after the global peak in production will gradually be reduced to a level where economic growth will not continue despite otherwise favorable conditions. (The International Energy Agency has warned that this might happen.) In such a case the realization will come upon us like a blinding flash of the obvious! Erupting volcanoes are not the only cause of economic woes, and peak oil will not cause the global economy to come to a stand-still.
We will simply find that oil prices go through the roof and that economic growth becomes increasingly difficult to attain.
Through this blinding flash of the obvious we will suddenly realize the value of a strategy and a plan that helps us prioritize ways to reduce our dependence on oil, and we will wish that we already had a program organization that could help us jump-start a mitigation program.
Tags: blinding flash of the obvious > change management > drop that erodes the stone > energy efficiency > energy systems transformation > Global Energy Transformation > International Energy Agency > jump-start > large scale transformation > Mats R Larsson > organizational learning > program management > project management
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